| One Way To Choose A Forex Signal Provider - Let's Examine Draw Downs |
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| Written by Tom K Kearns |
| Tuesday, 20 October 2009 01:46 |
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To begin, let us define the term Draw Down. A draw down is the total amount lost between an extreme high and an extreme low and is the very first thing a person seeking a third party signal provider should pay close attention to. The draw down amount encompasses open positions without taking into account the margin required to prevent a margin call. The burning question becomes then how much draw down is too much draw down? Like many questions asked of the trading business, the answer is - it depends. This is not a cut and dried circumstance; many factors abound in the answer to this question. A person with an account of many thousands of dollars can obviously tolerate more draw down than a person with less, but what else is entailed in the answer?
To begin, let us define the term Draw Down. A draw down is the total amount lost between an extreme high and an extreme low and is the very first thing a person seeking a third party signal provider should pay close attention to. The draw down amount encompasses open positions without taking into account the margin required to prevent a margin call. The burning question becomes then how much draw down is too much draw down? Like many questions asked of the trading business, the answer is - it depends. This is not a cut and dried circumstance; many factors abound in the answer to this question. A person with an account of many thousands of dollars can obviously tolerate more draw down than a person with less, but what else is entailed in the answer? Besides the size of the draw down number are the events that formulated it. A trader with a draw down of a size so high it makes you nervous but otherwise seems a successful one, you need to take a look at the number of positions he has open at one time. If he opens 5 trades on whatever pair at one time; you can immediately reduce his record of draw downs by 5. The trader who limits the number of open trades can sizably cut down the overall draw down. A trader can often have an excellent historical track record except for one single mega-meltdown, where the trader simply zoned out and let a trade run amok on him and unmonitored for days on end. This will reflect badly on him but really should not overly affect the scope of the trader's abilities. What if the trader simply can't tell when a trade has a snowball's chance in hell of making a comeback to even? What if, heaven forbid, his internet connection lost it at the most inauspicious times? In either case, avoid this problem by setting your own stops for the trader. Don't though, stop those trades that are reasonable, stop only those that are beyond the outer rim of a realistic (to you) trading range. At this point, we are going to visit again our original question. Now that you have accomplished all you can to limit draw down, I will caution you by saying any amount over 35% of your total account equity is way overdoing it. If you let yourself become in a situation where a 50% plus loss is incurred, coming back from it would involve some extremely risky behavior. A 50% loss demands a 100% gain just to get back on the level. Historical information on the trader is another important consideration to take into account. A lengthy history being available can illustrate to you just how the trader handles rough seas in the trading arena. You want to know this because there will be rough seas in your trading future and you want a steady captain at the helm. Do not just let go once you have selected your trader. You must constantly monitor his activity on both live and demo accounts. Should his draw down get crazy, it is undoubtedly time to reappraise your situation with him and perhaps delete him from your portfolio completely. DISCLAIMER: This article is provided as information only and is not to be taken as financial advice. To learn more about Autotrading the Forex visit Automated Forex Trading Systems. |
| Last Updated on Wednesday, 30 June 2010 15:01 |